Ahead of the Curve: A Commonsense Guide to Forecasting Business and Market Cycles
Economic and stock-market cycles affect companies in every industry. Unfortunately, a confusing array of anecdotal and conflicting indicators often renders it impossible for managers and investors to see where the economy is heading in time to take corrective action.
Now, a thirty-five-year Wall Street veteran unveils a new forecasting method that will help managers and investors understand and predict the economic cycles that control their businesses … [ Read more ]
Content: Book | Author: Joseph H. Ellis | Subject: Economics
Redefining Economic Downturns
There seems to be a repeating pattern in which businesses and investors are invariably caught, without warning, in economic downturns and the accompanying bear markets. In cycle after cycle, the abilities of the business and investment communities to perceive the downturn as it occurs are typically so belated that there is little capacity for avoiding its damaging effects.
Much of the problem seems to revolve around … [ Read more ]
Content: Article | Author: Joseph H. Ellis | Source: Harvard Business School (HBS) Working Knowledge | Subject: Economics