How Our Company Learned to Make Better Predictions About Everything
our approach to prediction seems stuck in the past. Most business forecasts fail to include measurable outcomes and are not recorded, so it is hard to know if we are even getting better at them.
Research from organizational psychologist Philip Tetlock, the co-author of Superforecasting, suggests an alternative. Studying forecasting tournaments where anonymous experts predicted future events, Tetlock found that some forecasters could … [ Read more ]
Content: Article | Author: Danny Hernandez | Source: Harvard Business Review | Subjects: Decision Making, Management, Productivity / Work Tips