Isolating Causality: Bad Market or Bad Company [Archive.org URL]

When a company is behind plan, an investor must ask is it the market or is it the company? A frequent challenge for an investor is to isolate causality in a given investment. Isolating market (exogenous) or company (endogenous) causality is vital with respect to the appropriate remedial action. If it is the market, there is little chance that more money or new management will change the outcome. If it is the company, additional resources (both capital and human) may indeed impact the outcome and be reasonable. I have observed several key indicators that help identify market failure and that suggest further investment is a challenge.

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