Count a man fortunate to be associated with a big idea. Peter Schwartz is linked with two: scenario planning and the concept of the “long boom.” Scenario planning is the methodology originally developed by thinkers at Royal Dutch/Shell (Schwartz among them) in which various alternative futures are postulated in an attempt to stretch people’s thinking about things to come. The long boom refers to Schwartz’s belief that a 40-year cycle of prosperity began in 1983.
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