Doing Scenarios – Scenarios Can Help Predict the Future [Archive.org URL]

Scenarios are imaginative pictures of potential futures, but the future they picture is just a means to an end. These conversations, at once free-flowing and rigorously constrained, are designed to help a group of people trick themselves to see past their own blind spots. Confronting the future with rigor tends to leave most people energized and enthusiastic about facing their future–even if the future looks grim. The steps, methods, and “scenario lingo” are easy to learn and use (sometimes deceptively so); they’re practically jargon-free, especially by the standards of usual management practice.

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