The Forecasting Canon: Nine Generalizations to Improve Forecast Accuracy [Archive.org URL]

Using findings from empirically-based comparisons, this article develops nine generalizations that can improve forecast accuracy. The author finds that these are often ignored by organizations, so that attention to them offers substantial opportunities for gain. The article offers recommendations on how to structure a forecasting problem, how to tap managers’ knowledge, and how to select appropriate forecasting methods.

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